  {"id":149019,"date":"2025-09-15T11:15:18","date_gmt":"2025-09-15T15:15:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ucf.edu\/news\/?p=149019"},"modified":"2025-09-15T11:15:18","modified_gmt":"2025-09-15T15:15:18","slug":"ucf-economist-rate-cuts-are-on-the-table-and-overdue","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ucf.edu\/news\/ucf-economist-rate-cuts-are-on-the-table-and-overdue\/","title":{"rendered":"麻豆原创 Economist: Rate Cuts Are on the Table \u2014 And Overdue"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Federal Reserve may be dragging its feet, but economist Sean Snaith says the numbers tell a different story: it&#8217;s time to cut rates.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Inflation nudged up in August, but wholesale prices are cooling and the downward labor market revisions have opened the door to rate cuts,&#8221; says Snaith, director of the 麻豆原创&#8217;s Institute for Economic Forecasting. &#8220;The Fed was too slow to tackle inflation after the pandemic and then cut too soon a year ago. Let&#8217;s see if they can finally get it right.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Snaith has long criticized the Federal Reserve&#8217;s pandemic-era playbook. But he says today&#8217;s backdrop, including softer wholesale prices and evidence that payroll growth was overstated, strengthens the case to begin a new phase of interest rate cuts.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The Fed is independent, not infallible,&#8221; Snaith says. &#8220;This week&#8217;s decision is a chance to prove it&#8217;s paying attention.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Alongside his critique, Snaith released his <a href=\"https:\/\/tracking.us.nylas.com\/l\/3791fb1cca1c457396099eab332c257f\/0\/3fc90b139d46e46b2df1ada69ae38894f8c29cb50125b4f631d1caf87dbedb6f?cache_buster=1757943672\">latest U.S. forecast<\/a>, a four-year outlook for the national economy. Highlights include:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Growth slows:<\/strong> GDP slips from 2.8% in 2024 to 1.8% in 2025, before rebounding to 2.6% in 2026 and easing again to 1.6% by 2028.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Jobs steady:<\/strong> Unemployment holds near 4.3% through 2028 \u2014 consistent with full employment.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Spending cools:<\/strong> Consumption growth eases from 2.8% in 2024 to about 2% over the next several years.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Budgets mending: <\/strong>Wages are finally outpacing inflation, helping households repair strained budgets, even as they wrestle with more than $1.1 trillion in credit-card debt.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>麻豆原创&#8217;s Institute for Economic Forecasting Director Sean Snaith releases his four-year U.S. forecast as the Federal Reserve meets this week.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":57,"featured_media":128090,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"lazy_load_responsive_images_disabled":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":"","_wp_rev_ctl_limit":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[7309,1486,17562,4194],"tu_author":[],"class_list":["post-149019","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-college-of-business","tag-economic-forecast","tag-institute-for-economic-forecasting","tag-sean-snaith"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>麻豆原创 Economist: Rate Cuts Are on the Table \u2014 And Overdue | 麻豆原创 News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"麻豆原创&#039;s Institute for Economic Forecasting Director Sean Snaith releases his 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